Washington Redskins 2018 Season Breakdown
One of my favorite things to do as a sports fan is to go through the upcoming season’s schedule and predict win-loss records and season stats. Let’s face it, most years this is when your confidence is highest, and it only goes down from here.
So below is a quick rundown of how I think we’ll do week by week, with the top offensive performer stats for the Skins for the year.
Week 1: @ Arizona Cardinals
Arizona may be one of the most even matchups for the Redskins all year. They obviously have a stud in Johnson at RB, and perhaps THE most consistent and reliable player in the history of the NFL in Fitzgerald. Brice Butler and the rookie Christian Kirk provide a promising receiving core, but both have a lot to prove. The fate of the Cardinals is going to ultimately come down to the QB position, and unless he gets hurt in training camp (which is a HUGE possibility), Sam Bradford will be under center.
I think the screen and short game with Alex Smith at the helm moves the ball and opens up a few shots to Richardson and Doctson deep. Points will be scored, but will the Skins front 7 bottle up DJ and put some pressure on Bradford? I think so.
(1-0) Washington 24, Arizona 16
Week 2: vs. Indianapolis Colts
Boy on paper a few years ago, this would have been a blockbuster matchup.
Now, the Colts are as blah of a team as their QB’s personality. Marlon Mack, T.Y. Hilton, Ryan Grant, Doyle and Ebron at TE… BLAHHHHH…. Let’s not even talk about their defense.
I think after starting slow week 1, Guice establishes himself and eclipses the century mark. Smith has an uneventful game, but as usual makes protects the ball. The defense shuts down the run with the big fellas up front, making Indy one dimensional.
(2-0) Washington 20, Indianapolis 10
Week 3: vs. Green Bay Packers
Ok let’s be real; I don’t think I’ll ever pick the Skins to beat an Aaron Rodgers led team.
Rodgers probably carves up the Redskins secondary. Smith puts up a conservative 200ish yards, but will probably have to resort to using his legs a lot. The offense never really fires all on cylinders. This one isn’t really close.
(2-1) Green Bay 27, Washington 16
Week 4: BYE
Week 5: @ New Orleans
Drew Brees is never easy to beat, especially not in New Orleans.
Case in point: Week 11 last year.
The good news is that the Saints running game is going to suffer with Mark Ingram serving his final game of his 4 week suspension. Wait… Alvin Kamara.
I think the Skins fight hard, but New Orleans’ offense is just a lot better than the Redskins defense.
(2- 2) New Orleans 31, Washington 20
Week 6 : vs. Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton is a force to be reckoned with when he is on. And Week 5 seems early enough in the year for him not to start acting like a spoiled child. He’s got a blossoming weapon in McCaffrey, and a couple of Terps at WR in Torrey Smith and rookie DJ Moore. I think Cam’s legs and his rocket arm probably further expose the Redskins defense.
On the good guys side, Smith isn’t going to have it that easy against Carolina’s top 10 defense from last year. But this is one where his arsenal of unique weapons keeps it close, but we fall just short on a late comeback.
(2-3) Carolina 27, Washington 26
Week 7: vs. Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is going to SUCK this year. Jason Witten was the ultimate safety valve in the entire NFL in the last 10 years. Not only did he run some of the best routes and have some of the best hands, but he was also the best run blocking TE in the game for years.
Zeke is one of the best couple RB’s in the league, but Dallas did lose some depth on the OL this offseason. Dak is probably THE most overrated QB in the game, and when Zeke was out last year, it showed.
This is a season defining game. I think the Skins ball out in all facets.
(3-3) Washington 30, Dallas 19
Week 8: @ New York Giants
What we should all hope for is that the old Josh Norman, Odell Beckham Jr. rivalry is rekindled. What a show that has been the last couple years…
The Giants drafted another generational talent in Saquon Barkley.
Problem is, he’s got weak leadership in the locker room, and a weaker offensive line blocking for him. Outside of those two studs, there is nothing on that team that anyone should be worried about.
I think this may be the best offensive performance the Skins put up for the year, even if its in the Meadowlands.
Smith puts up 3 in the air, Guice and Thompson destroy the Giants. Skins win big and get some momentum, and more importantly move to 2-0 in the division.
(4-3) Washington 37, New York 23
Week 9: vs. Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is a tough one to project this season. On paper, they have big talent in Julio, the rookie Ridley, and the 2 headed rushing attack of Freeman and Coleman. But Matt Ryan decides sometimes to play like Ryan Leaf, and I’m just going to guess that this one of those games. Atlanta’s defense is fast, but a little undersized overall. Until this year, I would say the latter doesn’t matter, but we have a bull in the backfield now.
At this point in the season, I think Guice will be the frontrunner for Offensive ROY. Alex Smith’s ability to move the ball with his accuracy and scrambling ability will keep Atlanta’s defense away from the line of scrimmage, allowing Guice to gain momentum and run over the 200lb. LB’s for Atlanta.
(5-3) Washington 23, Atlanta 20
Week 10: @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa has arguably one of the best WR’s in the game in Mike Evans. TE OJ Howard is ridiculously talented, and rookie RB Ronald Jones is going to be an above average asset for them.
BUT…
Their defense is atrocious. Also, Jameis Winston is suspended the first 3 games this year. Which means a WHOLE lot of crab legs, a whole lot of belly, a whole lot of work to get back into shape. By the time Week 10 rolls around, he might be back down to pre- suspension weight.
The Skins keep on rolling and by this time, I’ll probably be calling for them to win it all.
(6-3) Washington 22, Tampa Bay 16
Week 11: vs. Houston Texans
Deshaun Watson was a force to be reckoned with before he tore his ACL last season. No one really knows how much of a step he is going to lose this season, but even if he does regress some, he’ll still likely be tough to defend.
Watson has Hopkins and Fuller to sling the ball around to, and Miller in the backfield always gets tons of hype every year, but he was underwhelming last year and will probably do the same this year.
I hate coming off as the blind homer (even though it’s true), but the Skins are going to be a superior team to Houston. I have Smith putting up a monster game in this one, and the Skins rushers are going to set an edge and keep Watson in the pocket.
SU-PER BOWL.
(7-3) Washington 26, Houston 17
Week 12: @ Dallas Cowboys
The much anticipated Thanksgiving Day game, which IMO should always feature the Skins and the Cowboys.
We all remember the gruesome shot on national television back in 2002 of Skins punter Bryan Barker’s mangled nose that ruined everyone’s appetite. I think the Skins might get punched in the nose again in this matchup.
Quite honestly, my reason for predicting a Skins loss in this one isn’t because Dallas will be a much more superior team this season (I mentioned earlier they will SUCK), or that they will be in the midst of a run to the playoffs. More than anything, I just can’t realistically see the Skins winning 6 in a row, or sweeping a division rival, or winning a primetime game.
This one will be a sloppy, mistake-ridden game on both sides. But the difference will end up being some wild fumbled punt, or a sack fumble, act of god, etc.
Cowboys eek one out.
(7-4) Dallas 20, Washington 16
Week 13: @ Philadelphia Eagles
Back to back division games are always tough. And so is 2 games against the defending Super Bowl champs in the last 5 games of the year.
Philly has a good chance of winning the division again in 2018. Their core is young, they have 2 QB’s that can both run their system pretty well. And their defense is deep and fast.
The Skins will be competitive in most games this year, but they just haven’t taken the next step to get over the hump to be able to beat the best teams in the league consistently. Philly is one of the best teams in the league, therefore, a mini-skid begins.
(7-5) Philadelphia 30, Washington 20
Week 14: vs. New York Giants
If there is any chance of the Skins sweeping a division rival, it’s against NY.
By this time of the season, they will most certainly be playing for a top-10 draft position, and Eli Manning will probably be benched.
There is one thing for certain, and that is that if the Skins are going to make the playoffs, this one is a must-win.
Skins rebound big and put up another 30 point performance like they did in their week 8 matchup.
(8-5) Washington 31, New York 16
Week 15: @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is legit. Their defense is one of the 5 best in football, and it is young. They benefit big time from playing in the AFC South, but with the talent they have on D, and at RB and WR, they can be right back in the thick of things in the playoffs this year.
This is one game where I think Alex Smith is going to flounder. At this point, Skins will have played 10 straight weeks since their week 4 bye, and a fast defense is going to take advantage of a tired, probably beat up Redskins o-line.
(8-6) Jacksonville 23, Washington 13
Week 16: @ Tennessee Titans
Thank goodness the rest of the teams in the AFC south stink.
Tennessee went 9-7 in 2017, but just never really passed the eye test as a real contender. With Watson presumably back healthy this year, I think Houston surpasses them as the 2nd best team in that division (which isn’t saying a lot).
As always, the Skins will never be in cruise control at this point in the season. They will be fighting for their playoff lives, and 10-6 is going to be the minimum to grab a wildcard spot.
Smith rebounds from a rough one in Week 15, the offense clicks. Mariota and company stay stuck in neutral.
(9-6) Washington 23, Tennesse 16
Week 17: vs. Philadelphia Eagles
MUST. WIN. GAME.
With Philly having clinched the division a couple weeks before, this game won’t be as essential to them. However, there’s a good chance they will be fighting for one of the 2 first round byes with Green Bay and New Orleans.
FedEx field will be flooded with green jerseys. And unfortunately, the lightning in the bottle we caught back in 2012 with RG3 at the helm in a week 17, divisional must-win game just isn’t going to happen twice.
The Washington Capitals ju-ju didn’t quite rub off enough.
(9-7) Philadelphia 27, Washington 17
And there you have it. Another mediocre season with the fanbase torn on whether to be optimistic or pessimistic on the upcoming season. The front office will be looking for their QB of the future, looking to draft someone so they can sit behind Smith for at least a season. But their front 7 on defense will be locked in, their workhorse RB in place, and a good enough offensive line to be a contender in 2019.
Final stats:
Alex Smith: 3,900 Pass Yards, 26 Pass TD’s, 6 INT’s, 68% Completion Percentage, 270 Rush Yards, 3 Rush TD’s
Derrius Guice: 942 Rushing Yards, 6 Rushing TD’s, 250 Receiving Yards, 2 Receiving TD’s
Chris Thompson: 360 Rushing Yards, 1 Rushing TD, 615 Receiving Yards, 5 Receiving TD’s
Josh Doctson: 59 Receptions, 723 Receiving Yards, 6 TD’s
Paul Richardson: 66 Receptions, 815 Receiving Yards, 4 TD’s
Jamison Crowder: 52 Receptions, 680 Receiving Yards, 3 TD’s
Jordan Reed: 71 Receptions, 882 Receiving Yards, 5 TD’s
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